UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
4 - 1
Randers

(Leicester City win 7-2 on aggregate)

Ndidi (23'), Barnes (49'), Daka (55'), Dewsbury-Hall (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hammershoj-Mistrati (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Leicester City and Randers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Randers had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Randers win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Randers
58.6%	23.5%	17.89%

Both teams to score 46.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41%

52.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.76%

74.24%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.31%

17.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.68%

48.32%

Randers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.74%

43.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.49%

79.51%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 58.6%

Randers 17.89%

Draw 23.49%

Leicester City	Draw	Randers
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.56% 4-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.45% Total : 58.6%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.72% Total : 17.89%

How you voted: Leicester vs Randers

Leicester City

83.7%

Draw

10.4%

Randers

5.9%