Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Randers had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Randers win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.