Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Jan 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
2 - 3
Spurs

Daka (24'), Maddison (76')
Choudhury (55')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kane (38'), Bergwijn (90+5', 90+7')
Sanchez (59'), Bergwijn (90+4')

Reaction

Steven Bergwijn celebrates scoring Tottenham Hotspur's winning goal against Leicester City on January 19, 2022.

Tottenham Hotspur set new Premier League record with Leicester City comeback

Tottenham Hotspur set a new Premier League record after their astonishing late comeback against Leicester City on Wednesday night.

Jan 20, 09:23

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
38.53%	25.29%	36.17%

Both teams to score 56.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.96%

47.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.72%

69.27%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93%

24.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.64%

58.35%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64%

25.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85%

60.15%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 38.53%

Tottenham Hotspur 36.17%

Draw 25.28%

Leicester City	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 8.69% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.53%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.91% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.17%