EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Jan 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 0
Spurs

(Chelsea win 3-0 on aggregate)

Havertz (5'), Davies (34' og.)
Sarr (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel after his side's win over Malmo on November 2, 2021.

Thomas Tuchel 'impressed' with makeshift Chelsea side during win over Spurs

Head coach Thomas Tuchel admits that he was 'impressed' with how his makeshift Chelsea side secured a 2-0 victory over Tottenham Hotspur in the EFL Cup.

Jan 5, 22:16

Antonio Conte in charge of Tottenham Hotspur in December 2021

Watch: Ben Davies scores comical own goal against Chelsea

Tottenham Hotspur's Ben Davies scores a comical own goal as the Lilywhites go 2-0 down against Chelsea in the first leg of their EFL Cup semi-final.

Jan 5, 20:52

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
51.24%	24.39%	24.37%

Both teams to score 53.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.27%

48.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.16%

70.84%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.98%

19.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.42%

50.57%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.55%

34.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.84%

71.15%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 51.24%

Tottenham Hotspur 24.37%

Draw 24.38%

Chelsea	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.24%	1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 6.98% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.37%