Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 12, 2021 at 2pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
4 - 0
Newcastle

Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Newcastle United
62.3%	21.79%	15.9%

Both teams to score 47.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01%

48.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93%

71.07%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.83%

15.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.23%

43.77%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.36%

43.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.17%

79.82%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 62.3%

Newcastle United 15.9%

Draw 21.79%

Leicester City	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.21% Total : 62.3%	1-1 @ 10.35% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.28% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.54% Total : 15.9%

How you voted: Leicester vs Newcastle

Leicester City

69.9%

Draw

17.0%

Newcastle United

13.1%