Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
62.3% | 21.79% | 15.9% |
Both teams to score 47.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% | 48.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% | 71.07% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.83% | 15.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.23% | 43.77% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.36% | 43.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.17% | 79.82% |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.21% Total : 62.3% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.28% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.54% Total : 15.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 26 | 51 | 74 |
2 | Liverpool | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 32 | 43 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |