FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
3 - 1
Morecambe

Winks (74'), Moura (85'), Kane (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

O'Connor (33')
Diagouraga (44'), Cooney (74')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Morecambe
66.46%	19.46%	14.07%

Both teams to score 50.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.43%

42.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.02%

64.98%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.08%

11.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.72%

37.27%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.76%

42.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.36%

78.64%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 66.44%

Morecambe 14.07%

Draw 19.46%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Morecambe
2-0 @ 11.38% 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3% 5-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.52% Total : 66.44%	1-1 @ 9.23% 0-0 @ 5.04% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.46%	0-1 @ 4.34% 1-2 @ 3.98% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.22% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.53% Total : 14.07%