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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Morecambe |
| 55.8% | 24.13% | 20.07% |
| Both teams to score 48.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.83% | 52.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.11% | 73.88% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% | 18.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.17% | 49.82% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% | 40.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.86% | 77.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% 2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 5.41% 4-0 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.79% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.8% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.07% |