Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
