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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 48.23% | 26.3% | 25.48% |
| Both teams to score 48.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% | 55.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% | 76.57% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% | 22.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% | 56.78% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% | 37.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% | 73.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 9.22% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.8% Total : 48.22% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.75% Total : 25.48% |