Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.