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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Morecambe |
| 35.58% | 27.62% | 36.81% |
| Both teams to score 48.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.27% | 77.73% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% | 30.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% | 29.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% | 65.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.58% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.95% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.8% |