Burton Albion
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 4
Aston Villa U21s

Jebbison (20'), Hemmings (23')
Hemmings (52'), Powell (65'), Amadi-Holloway (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Archer (35', 61', 71'), Abldeen-Goodridge (51')
Iroegbunam (43')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Burton Albion and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 72.99%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawAston Villa Under-21s
72.99%15.98%11.03%
Both teams to score 54.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.25%33.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.41%55.58%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.01%7.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.81%28.19%
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73%41.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21%77.79%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 72.99%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 11.03%
    Draw 15.98%
Burton AlbionDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 7.85%
4-0 @ 5.6%
4-1 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 3.48%
5-0 @ 2.83%
5-1 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 2.2%
6-0 @ 1.19%
5-2 @ 1.11%
6-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 72.99%
1-1 @ 7.38%
2-2 @ 4.13%
0-0 @ 3.3%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.98%
1-2 @ 3.27%
0-1 @ 2.92%
0-2 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.22%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 11.03%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Aston Villa U21s

Burton Albion
65.8%
Draw
18.4%
Aston Villa Under-21s
15.8%
38
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!