Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
