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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 31.59% | 27.96% | 40.45% |
| Both teams to score 47.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% | 58.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% | 79.2% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% | 34.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% | 70.72% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% | 28.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% | 64.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.59% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 12.17% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.73% Total : 40.45% |