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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 48.17% | 27.04% | 24.8% |
| Both teams to score 45.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.53% | 58.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.95% | 79.06% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% | 24.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% | 58.76% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.57% | 39.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.87% | 76.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 13.56% 2-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 8.91% 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.43% Total : 24.8% |