Lincoln
3 - 2
Man Utd U21s

Scully (23', 32', 57')
McGrandles (39')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McNeill (68'), Hardley (89')
Mejbri (87')
Mejbri (90+1')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Lincoln City and Manchester United Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Manchester United Under-21s
64.76%	18.5%	16.74%

Both teams to score 61.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.75%

32.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.14%

53.86%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.57%

9.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.32%

31.68%

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67%

32.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16%

68.84%

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 64.76%

Manchester United Under-21s 16.74%

Draw 18.5%

Lincoln City	Draw	Manchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 7.56% 1-0 @ 7.2% 3-0 @ 6.69% 4-1 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 4.27% 4-0 @ 3.95% 4-2 @ 2.52% 5-1 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 1.87% 5-2 @ 1.19% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.9% Total : 64.76%	1-1 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 5.42% 0-0 @ 3.05% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.5%	1-2 @ 4.59% 0-1 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-2 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.01% Total : 16.74%

Lincoln3 - 2Man Utd U21s

Data Analysis

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Lincoln
3 - 2
Man Utd U21s