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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 49.92% | 25.69% | 24.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.1% | 53.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% | 75.35% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% | 21.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.26% | 54.73% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% | 37.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% | 74.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% 2-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.2% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.39% |