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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 32.31% | 27.03% | 40.66% |
| Both teams to score 50.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.73% | 76.27% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% | 31.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.95% | 68.05% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% | 26.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% | 61.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.31% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.66% |