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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 50.08% | 24.35% | 25.58% |
| Both teams to score 54.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% | 47.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% | 69.75% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% | 19.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.42% | 50.58% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% | 32.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.66% | 69.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.58% |