League One

League One | Gameweek 45

May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Gillingham

Broom (90')
Taylor (13'), Hemmings (45+1'), Earl (85'), Broom (90+1'), Fondop (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Graham (37')
MacDonald (39')

Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Gillingham.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Gillingham
40.74%	26.03%	33.23%

Both teams to score 53.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.26%

50.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36%

72.64%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41%

24.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.92%

59.08%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09%

28.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22%

64.78%

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 40.74%

Gillingham 33.23%

Draw 26.03%

Burton Albion	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.74%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.23%