League One

May 30, 2021 at 3pm UK

Wembley Stadium

Blackpool
2 - 1
Lincoln

Dougall (34', 54')
Garbutt (8'), Ballard (48'), Husband (84'), Dougall (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Turton (1' og.)
Bridcutt (66')

Reaction

Blackpool's manager Neil Critchley celebrates after the match against Oxford on May 21, 2021

Neil Critchley: 'Promotion justifies leaving Liverpool'

Neil Critchley left his role as the Reds' Under-23s manager in March 2020 to guide the Seasiders back to the Championship for the first time in six years.

May 30, 17:58

The Match

Match Report

The Australian scored in both halves to ensure the Seasiders recovered from conceding the earliest ever goal in the third-tier play-off final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Blackpool and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
Blackpool	Draw	Lincoln City
40.5%	26.96%	32.54%

Both teams to score 50.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.33%

54.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24%

76%

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.49%

26.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.3%

61.7%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68%

31.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.32%

67.68%

Score Analysis

Blackpool 40.5%

Lincoln City 32.54%

Draw 26.95%

Blackpool	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.5%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.54%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Lincoln

Blackpool

66.7%

Draw

10.3%

Lincoln City

23.0%