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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 27.09% | 24.63% | 48.28% |
| Both teams to score 54.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% | 47.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% | 69.78% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% | 31.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% | 68% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% | 19.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 7.19% 2-1 @ 6.72% 2-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.09% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.28% |