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EFL Cup

Burton Albion
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Oxford United

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Mousinho (90+6' og.)
FT
(aet)
Holland (85')
Bodin (77')
Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%).

Result
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
26.08%24.77%49.16%
Both teams to score 53.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1%48.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01%70.99%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9%33.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3%69.69%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08%19.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94%52.06%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 26.08%
    Oxford United 49.15%
    Draw 24.76%
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.29%
2-1 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 4.03%
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.93%
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 26.08%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.59%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-2 @ 8.58%
1-3 @ 5.1%
0-3 @ 4.62%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.86%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.15%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Oxford Utd

Burton Albion
41.9%
Draw
28.4%
Oxford United
29.7%
74