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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 41.51% | 26.16% | 32.33% |
| Both teams to score 52.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% | 51.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% | 73.29% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% | 24.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% | 58.99% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% | 29.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% | 65.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.33% |