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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 38.26% | 28.55% | 33.18% |
| Both teams to score 45.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.57% | 60.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.43% | 80.57% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% | 30.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.21% | 66.79% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% | 33.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% | 70.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.18% |