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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Morecambe

Blackburn
1 - 2
Morecambe

Dolan (22')
Buckley (6'), Davenport (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stockton (52'), Phillips (84' pen.)
O'Connor (75'), Phillips (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Adam Phillips' late penalty secured a 2-1 victory.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMorecambe
50.5%23.97%25.53%
Both teams to score 55.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07%45.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76%68.24%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77%18.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74%49.26%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05%31.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.41%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.5%
    Morecambe 25.53%
    Draw 23.97%
Blackburn RoversDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.65%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 25.53%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Morecambe

Blackburn Rovers
70.4%
Draw
29.6%
Morecambe
0.0%
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