EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

PTS Academy Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)

Northampton
0 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Horsfall (34'), Hoskins (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hartigan (90+4')
Csoka (17'), Presley (34')

Reaction

General view outside AFC Wimbledon's Kingsmeadow ground

Dons boss Mark Robinson far from happy despite last-gasp win at Northampton

It is the first time AFC Wimbledon have reached the third round of the EFL Cup in their history.

Aug 24, 22:18

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Northampton Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
38.42%	26.98%	34.6%

Both teams to score 50.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.62%

54.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.25%

75.75%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48%

27.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97%

63.03%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18%

29.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.1%

65.9%

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 38.41%

AFC Wimbledon 34.6%

Draw 26.97%

Northampton Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2% Total : 38.41%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.6%

How you voted: Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon

Northampton Town

25.0%

Draw

16.7%

AFC Wimbledon

58.3%