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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Oxford United |
| 25.16% | 25.42% | 49.43% |
| Both teams to score 50.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% | 52.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% | 73.96% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% | 35.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% | 72.46% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% | 21.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.98% | 54.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.96% Total : 25.16% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 11.72% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-2 @ 9.11% 1-3 @ 4.86% 0-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 49.42% |