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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Morecambe |
34.05% | 26.24% | 39.7% |
Both teams to score 53.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.54% | 51.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.73% | 73.27% |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% | 28.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% | 64.57% |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% | 25.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.71% | 60.29% |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.05% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 86 | 56 | 30 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 61 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 46 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 41 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |