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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Morecambe |
| 34.05% | 26.24% | 39.7% |
| Both teams to score 53.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% | 51.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% | 73.27% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% | 28.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% | 64.57% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% | 25.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% | 60.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.05% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.69% |