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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 41.02% | 27.36% | 31.62% |
| Both teams to score 48.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.57% | 56.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% | 77.44% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% | 27.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.59% | 62.41% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% | 32.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% | 69.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.02% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.62% |