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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Rochdale |
| 41.86% | 26.88% | 31.26% |
| Both teams to score 50.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.31% | 54.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% | 76.02% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% | 25.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% | 60.74% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% | 32.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% | 68.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.26% |