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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 49.75% | 25.92% | 24.33% |
| Both teams to score 48.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% | 54.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% | 76.12% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% | 22.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% | 55.42% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% | 37.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% | 74.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% 2-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.04% Total : 49.75% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.63% Total : 24.33% |