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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Hull City |
| 28.23% | 24.73% | 47.04% |
| Both teams to score 55.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% | 47.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% | 69.49% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% | 30.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% | 66.81% |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% | 20.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.57% | 52.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-2 @ 7.91% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 4.22% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.04% |