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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 35.67% | 27.85% | 36.48% |
| Both teams to score 48.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.31% | 57.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.56% | 78.45% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% | 30.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.94% | 67.06% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% | 30.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% | 66.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.47% |