League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2021 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 6
Oxford Utd

Beckles (87')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Ruffels (37'), Henry (40'), Moore (45+2'), Barker (47'), Brannagan (50'), Winnall (84')

Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Oxford United
33.7%	26.28%	40.02%

Both teams to score 52.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.33%

51.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.55%

73.45%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94%

29.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.03%

64.96%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61%

25.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81%

60.19%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 33.7%

Oxford United 40.01%

Draw 26.27%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.7%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.01%