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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 32.27% | 26.24% | 41.48% |
| Both teams to score 52.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% | 51.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% | 73.61% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% | 30.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% | 66.22% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% | 24.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% | 59.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.34% Total : 32.27% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.48% |