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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 32.18% | 26.45% | 41.36% |
| Both teams to score 51.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.25% | 52.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.62% | 74.38% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% | 30.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% | 66.82% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% | 25.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% | 59.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.36% |