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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 20.5% | 23.57% | 55.93% |
| Both teams to score 50.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% | 49.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% | 71.49% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.48% | 38.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.73% | 75.27% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% | 17.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% | 48.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.44% 2-1 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.48% 3-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.49% Total : 20.5% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 0-2 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-3 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 5.67% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-4 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 2.47% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.7% Total : 55.91% |