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Championship header 2

League Two

Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2021 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Harrogate Town

Cheltenham
4 - 1
Harrogate

Sercombe (11'), Smith (22'), May (34'), Wright (56')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Muldoon (7')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Harrogate Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawHarrogate Town
45.37%26.3%28.33%
Both teams to score 50.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.35%53.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85%75.14%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42%23.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36%57.64%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16%33.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49%70.5%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 45.37%
    Harrogate Town 28.33%
    Draw 26.3%
Cheltenham TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.37%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.33%

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