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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 35.21%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 34.86% | 29.93% | 35.21% |
| Both teams to score 42.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.11% | 64.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.19% | 83.81% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% | 35.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.19% | 71.81% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% | 34.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% | 71.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.17% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.21% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.92% | 0-1 @ 12.88% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.21% |