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Swindon Town
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 at 6pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
Portsmouth

Swindon
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Pitman (18', 61' pen.), Smith (90+1')
Thompson (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Curtis (82')
Daniels (60'), Nicolaisen (84'), Cannon (90+3')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Portsmouth.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawPortsmouth
21.17%24.65%54.18%
Both teams to score 48.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08%52.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47%74.53%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.2%39.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.53%76.47%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52%19.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66%51.34%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 21.17%
    Portsmouth 54.17%
    Draw 24.64%
Swindon TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.14%
2-1 @ 5.38%
2-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.35%
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.17%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 7.75%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 12.68%
0-2 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-3 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 5.21%
2-3 @ 2.4%
0-4 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.17%