Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup

Millwall logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Portsmouth

Millwall
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Malone (21'), Saville (27')
Cooper (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hackett-Fairchild (4')
Hackett-Fairchild (49')
Johnson (48')

The Match

Match Report

George Saville on target as Millwall battle back to beat Portsmouth.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Millwall and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawPortsmouth
36.36%26.99%36.65%
Both teams to score 50.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.69%54.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3%75.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47%64.53%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47%28.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69%64.31%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 36.35%
    Portsmouth 36.64%
    Draw 26.98%
MillwallDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 3.36%
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 36.64%

How you voted: Millwall vs Portsmouth

Millwall
68.2%
Draw
11.4%
Portsmouth
20.5%
44
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!