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EFL Cup

Hartlepool United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7pm UK
Victoria Park
Crewe Alexandra

Hartlepool
0 - 1
Crewe

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ainley (50')
Ramsay (81'), Dale (90+2')
Sass-Davies (13')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Hartlepool United and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
35.85%26.63%37.52%
Both teams to score 52.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.13%52.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52%74.48%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69%28.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97%64.03%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.77%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 35.85%
    Crewe Alexandra 37.51%
    Draw 26.63%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 9.76%
2-1 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.85%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 3.55%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.51%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Crewe

Hartlepool United
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
Crewe Alexandra
15.4%
13
rhs 2.0


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