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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 31.4% | 25.62% | 42.98% |
| Both teams to score 54.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% | 49.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% | 71.56% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% | 29.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% | 65.51% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% | 22.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.29% | 56.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.4% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.98% |