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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 37.74% | 26.78% | 35.47% |
| Both teams to score 51.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% | 53.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% | 75.02% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% | 62.99% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% | 28.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% | 64.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.47% |