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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 45.62% | 25.73% | 28.64% |
| Both teams to score 52.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% | 51.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% | 73.08% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% | 22.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.05% | 55.95% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% | 32.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.16% | 68.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.62% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.19% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.64% |