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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 47.62% | 26.61% | 25.77% |
| Both teams to score 47.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% | 56.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% | 77.35% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% | 23.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% | 57.78% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.63% | 37.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% | 74.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.61% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 8.71% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.77% |