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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 61.34% | 22.7% | 15.95% |
| Both teams to score 45.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% | 52.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% | 74.14% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% | 16.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.45% | 46.55% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.34% | 45.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.54% | 81.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 5.72% 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.24% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.74% Total : 61.33% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.97% 1-2 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.38% Total : 15.96% |