Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
