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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 41.35% | 26.18% | 32.47% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% | 51.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% | 73.35% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% | 24.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% | 59.15% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% | 29.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.12% | 65.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.34% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.47% |