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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 50.47% | 25.18% | 24.35% |
| Both teams to score 50.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% | 51.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% | 73.68% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% | 20.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% | 53.13% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% | 36.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27% | 72.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.47% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.57% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.35% |