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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 38.9% | 27.17% | 33.93% |
| Both teams to score 50.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% | 55.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% | 76.46% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% | 27.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% | 63.2% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% | 30.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% | 66.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.93% |