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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 43.85% | 25.36% | 30.78% |
| Both teams to score 54.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% | 48.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% | 70.78% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% | 22.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.45% | 55.54% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% | 29.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.78% |